"Looks to me like you're claiming he "lied" based on a forecast... "
Nope. It looks to me like you jumped to the wrong conclusion about what I said, because you wanted to believe he doesn't lie and you'd like to believe that I don't what I'm talking about. But you're dead wrong in both cases.
I used the old "truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth" to illustrate my point. I guess you missed that.
Because he may have technically told the truth, but certainly far less than the whole truth, and absolutely not just the truth.
Since he took office, the petroleum industry has been under assault from his administration. If he'd been asked, I would have loved to see him squirm on that one, because even the Squad would admit that's what they've been doing. And if you're expecting anyone to believe that he's saying production would magically bounce back for the 2nd half of 2021, given the aforementioned assault policies... then no. How dumb would a person have to be to believe that? It's not what his policies dictate, and that's not the direction we were going for that time period.
He also blathered on about something like 9K drilling permits not being used. Then he presented only one speculative side regarding why they weren't being used, and naturally that is the side that supported his lie about his administration not being the cause of less domestic production. He tried to blame lower domestic production on the greedy oil companies. He must think everybody that believes his lies are pretty stupid, because in order to fall for that, you'd have to believe that all 9K of those permits are for land that's just oozing with oil, which I can assure you they're not. How many of those permits will *never* go into production? I think a reasonable person would conclude that most of them will not, because they're either not potentially profitable, or they turned out to be a dry hole, petroleum-wise.
Sure, I get it, this isn't just about Putin outsmarting him at every turn; there's also domestic politics for his team to consider. They don't want him to look as bad at his job as he really is. So they lie.