on the one hand you have a NATO allied,2nd most powerful army in NATO,who have a long history with the kurds,and not all of it sunshine and rainbows.
and on the other you have a stateless people,with no concrete ties to any sovereign nation.who have been our allies in the fight against ISIS,and were quite successful I might add.
now,does trump stick by the rojave kurds (ypg/sdf) and use our 50-100 troops as a human shield?
or does he step back,remove our troops and allow turkey to roll in and establish that 32 mile buffer zone that they have been trying to establish through diplomatic channels,and failed.
now I was completely wrong in the fact that I was certain that this would be a bloodbath,but thus far there have been an est 7-10 deaths,and although there has been a mass rufugee problem (which was expected) this is nowhere near the genocide I seriously thought was going to happen.
this may be due to Russia stepping in as a buffer,but this is what should have happened a year ago.russia has interests in Syria.they have a naval base in tartar.
now there is a point to be made how trump withdrew our troops,but we have been there since 2011.where Obama defied congress and went in on presidential fiat.
which made Syria a proxy war.
we can also make the argument,and rightly so,that the way in which trump executed this plan hurts American credibility,and will affect future coalitions.
however,there are some positives as well.
ISIS is one of the most rabid,violent and radical of Islamic terrorist groups,and their stated goal is to oppose American hegemony.with American forces leaving..this may have the effect of ISIS losing it main reason for being in syria in the first place.
while we may find assad distasteful.syria is a sovereign nation.
and are allied with Russia and iran.
allow them to work out their differences,america has very little interests in being in Syria,except for ISIS.(the origins of our presence was a Russian pieline,but that point has become moot).
there is no reason for us to be there anymore.
and abandoning the kurds was a political decision.
there will be consequences,but also positives.
there is way more to it and as usual,things be complicated yo
but that's my unasked take on it.
*final note* with the kurds and Syrian government getting together,this might be the final stages of this war.which American state department had been pushing against (thanks Bolton!).
so it looks like trump made a good call here,
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