can You imagine how upset the media will be when Trump wins are-election?!?

Using a Brady Bunch font won't guarantee a happy ending. He could still win, but it will take a major swing. Either a gigantic gaffe from the Dems or major accomplishment, like DPRK disarmament or unequivocable Chinese trade deal.

A bit backwards, it would take a major upset for him to /lose/ the election.

I think it is really hard to gauge the country's majority opinion. With all the conflicting narratives and the media's usual sensationalism, it seems like a toss up. Everyone said it would be a major upset for Hillary to lose, too. Not that I think he should, but with public opinion just the appearance of impropriety could be enough to swing voters. The case against him is, IMHO, pretty flimsy.

Well, I agree the conflicting narratives make it hard to tell, but as far as I know, the models I usually refer to were conducted by supposedly /non-partisan/ researchers. These three researchers used something like 16 different models, and Trump won in every single one of them, with the majority of them showing him winning by a landslide, with only 3 or 4 showing it to be a close race.

Although looking again, I guess they're strictly /economic/ forecast models, which "tend to ignore election polls and personal characteristics of candidates" according to this article.

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/03/21/trump-economy-election-1230495

Still, what they all basically say is that as long as the economy stays strong, he can't lose.

I don't question your source or their models. Respectfully, the Politico article was 8 months ago, and much has happened since. China tariffs and Ukraine being among the more prominent. I agree that the performance of the economy will weigh heavy in voters' decisions. I wonder what the models from the Politico story would say now.

He won't get impeached though. They have no case whatsoever

He will be impeached, because the de ms want to and they have the votes. I haven't heard any evidence that rises to the level of removal, however.

Impeachment at this point is just a gauge of popularity among Democrats. They have the majority, therefore they can vote to impeach. Thank God we have a Constitution that doesn't allow this behavior to be legitimized. If Trump can be removed based on a vote from the party that has been calling for his impeachment since day 1, then I hate it for the next Democrat president. Every time the Dems set a precedent like this it backfires on them in the next Congress.

If the next Dem president so much as farts in church....

He'll at least be the first in history to do so (idk what will happen to presidents down the line)

The farm and coal and manufacturing states he screwed over will swing blue. He ain’t gonna take it again. Had he done what he said he would he may have had a good chance.

Had he been allowed to. Between the abject failure of the Repubs to work together when they had control and the zany investigations of the Dems, he has been severely impeded in accomplishing much of anything he campaigned on.