(1/2) “Russia will NEVER use nukes. One, if they would, they would have done so already.”
That’s such a stupid argument, that they haven’t used them yet so therefore they will never use them. Ideally Russia would never use their nuclear arsenal, but who’s to say they wouldn’t use them if push came to shove. We’ve already come very close to nuclear warfare during the Cuban missile crisis, it literally came down to one Soviet who refused to fire the nukes when he heard a report the bomb was dropped on Moscow. That was with the calm and collected leadership of JFK, we don’t have that now with Sleepy Joe.
“Two, there are only two places the fallout could go. Back to Russia, or onto Europe resulting in the entire world declaring war on Russia because of Article 5.”
You’re making a bunch of assumptions. One, that the fallout is going to be that bad that Europe and/or Russia get poisoned by it. Putin is not likely to use the Tsar Bomba or similar yield bomb on Ukraine when he has smaller yield bombs closer to the yield of Little Boy and Fat Man. Two, that even if the fallout is that bad that Putin cares. Three, that Article 5 would be triggered over fallout from a nuke dropped in Ukraine. Putin would have already shown his willingness to use nukes, NATO knows that engaging in that battle, especially since NATO hasn’t even been attacked, that they are essentially committing mass suicide, and I don’t see any of NATO’s leaders being willing to sacrifice New York, London, or Paris over Kiev.
“Also, despite all the fear mongering, I don’t think nuclear war will ever happen. Because we know it would be the end of the world. So we don’t use them.”
You’re forgetting about smaller yield nukes. Not every single nuke is the mountain buster type like Tsar Bomba, some are smaller and capable of only taking out a city center or military base. Those are the nukes Putin would likely be using, not the mountain busters. The US has already used two smaller yield nukes on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, which helped them win World War II.
