You know that excess deaths are, as the CDC says, "Excess deaths are typically defined as the difference between the observed numbers of deaths in specific time periods and expected numbers of deaths in the same time periods." Basically, excess deaths are when there are more deaths than expected. The blue bars are how many deaths are predicted, and the orange lines are the actual deaths. Also, that chart is for all causes of death. All I ask is that you specify on what you mean by, "Notice that its only 20,000 above normal, exactly what you would expect from a 0.5% death rate."
