bear in mind that half of all doctors graduated from the bottom 50% of medical schools, and half of those graduated in the bottom half of their class. i stopped trusting doctors at age 16 when one almost killed me.
i'm sure you're right about people being eager to avoid threats, but that doesn't mean that all broad threats are just devices for manipulation. this threat is real, not manufactured by the gov't. think about how many doctors, some of whom are truly crackerjack at what they do, and many of whom really care about people (I train a lot of premeds, and some of them really want to save the world, think about how many would have to be in on the conspiracy for it to work. basically all of them.
if you've had covid, you know it's no joke. mine lasted 3.5 weeks and pneumonia became a serious concern. i can't take antibiotics, and luckily i didn't need to. millions of people have died from this in just a year and a half.
think of all the CDC scientists who'd have to be in on it. again, people who got into science to save lives.
the guidance was never BS. they didn't know much about the virus (modes of transmission and contagiousness and replication cycle) early on, so they just went on what they had and their experience with other pandemics. when Fauci said 'two weeks' to flatten the curve, that was based on the assumption that the country would pull together for everyone's benefit. well that didn't happen, so Fauci can't be blamed for that.
anyway, you can't convince me that the CDC is some evil agency. i know and trained too many people who work there. it will be difficult to believe that the MSM has been giving you the straight poop on this all along (by and large, and to the best of their ability, anyway), but that's how it is.