Trump got about 8% of black vote in ‘16 and 12% in ‘20. In ‘16 there were 123million voters. 13% (16 million) are black. If Trump gets 20% of black vote, that is 1.25 million more voters than in ‘16 or a 2.5milllion vote total difference on Election Day. Dems will need 2.5 million new voters to break even. (Maybe that’s why the counting in Wisconsin stopped in the middle of the night)