Apologies for my slow reply. I was banned for a few days after posting my reply for disrespecting a certain user whose login rhymes with DanFailin. (these bans are getting longer and longer...) and was on vacation right after that, so I'm just now getting caught up on imgflip. (of course I do not look at imgflip when I'm on vacation!)
I think we're going to disagree on your two best courses of action, because were we in the situation the Ukrainians find themselves in, I doubt anyone would want to surrender their sovereignty and their liberty to a psychotic despot like Putin. For us, sitting on the outside, we can look at it dispassionately and take an objective view like that, because potential repercussions for us would have far less impact. I think I get it though, because if I could look at the situation entirely objectively, I might agree with what you've suggested.
I am not sure accepting Ukraine into NATO back in 2014 would have been a good idea. You're talking about *before* Putin took Crimea, right? While I support Ukrainian sovereignty, I'm not sure I want to see our soldiers (or NATO's) sacrificing their lives to preserve it. My perspective does have its limits. If that had happened, I doubt president Obama would have the moose nuts to stand up to Putin when he moved on Crimea.
I think there's a far greater chance than 0% that Putin will lose the war. I have to admit that I'm surprised at Ukraine's ability to fight. They supply meat for the grinder, and we supply the weapons and all the benefits that go along with that, and voila, bad Vlad seems to be a hurting unit. I will say that if he wanted to win this war regardless of military cost or any other negative outcomes geopolitically, I think he could. Just like we could have won Vietnam. But so far at least, he seems unwilling to pay the price that it now appears it would take for him to do so. I think how this plays out will be very telling about how Russia conducts itself in the future, and of course the impact it will have on other nations with like-minded psychotics at the helm.
I started writing this yesterday and got sidetracked, but I see in the news this morning that Putin is pulling out of Kherson. Does this have any influence over your opinion that Russia can't lose this war? Perhaps there's strategic advantage to this, and I'm certainly no expert on the military situation as a whole, but doesn't this open the possibility of Ukraine retaking Crimea?