Nobody can prove Trump caused the insurrection with anything other than assuming motives. Election fraud, however, has many things that suggested it happened (the independent candidate losing votes at 4 AM when Biden suddenly got 108K votes while Trump got none). People closing doors on the counting and then boarding up the walls so the people couldn’t see what they were doing was another thing. Just like Hillary Clinton, when people destroy evidence, why should we be obliged to trust them? I haven’t heard anything about Trump destroying phones after January 6 (that doesn’t mean he’s innocent, but my point is that destruction of evidence is a huge negative to your trustworthiness). There’s far more.
I can give more, but the difference between the election fraud and the accusation that Trump caused the insurrection is that people will call the election fraud a conspiracy unless you basically have video evidence of the cheating. They will never need such proof to call Trump guilty of causing January 6, because you never need proof to condemn people the left doesn’t like. The last 40 days of Trump’s presidency were never just about getting him out of office; they were about making sure he would never get in there again. It was a warning to anyone who doesn’t kowtow to the media: “If you don’t bow to our ideals (aka be a leftist), we will do everything in our power to jack over your political career. We decide truth and we will make people want you arrested.”
If you remember back then, I called all of this before it happened. I knew about 3 days after people started pushing mail-in ballots that it was just going to be used to prolong and bullcrap the election. I knew that Trump wouldn’t back down (and so did the media, but they had plans for that, which I also knew would happen). And I knew something would be blamed against Trump to try to make sure he was incriminated so they could make sure he was done for good. All three predictions happened.