Crazy things are happening with the early turnout figures which I think spells trouble for Trump across the board.
—VA, NH, NV, CO used to be swing states but I think they’re solid blue for now and maybe forever.
—I would put all the upper Midwest Lakes states in Biden’s column, except maybe OH and maaaaaaaaaybe PA, but only because of the late-breaking police shooting and riots in Philly.
—Biden could scoop at least one out of three of NC, GA, and FL. Or maybe pull a hat trick and take them all.
—TX early turnout numbers are frightening. Anybody’s guess, but I think Biden has at least a 50/50 shot. I think Biden takes AZ as well.
—IA just might stay with Trump.