Polls are inherently newsworthy and worthy of commentary. I usually ignore them myself, but the extent to which Trump is down now is so great that it’s worth my attention.
Polls aren’t prefect, but they’re the best gauge of public opinion we have. The above chart is an aggregation from FiveThirtyEight which is well-known for having predicted the 2016 election result “more accurately” than just about anyone else, giving him a 1/3 chance of victory.
Look: Even Trump’s team was surprised on election night. No one really saw this coming, except the sober data-minded analysts from Nate Silver’s blog.
Now, it’s one thing for polls to be off by 1, 2, or 3 points, which is basically what happened on Election Night 2016. But for them to be off by 10 points or whatever it is now would be something else.
But if the polls are that wrong again, and Trump wins in November, you have my permission in advance to post the above Peanuts reacc meme every time you see me.