Well, you’re awfully sanguine about the Russian troop buildups, military exercises, and shrill Kremlin propaganda being pumped out at the moment. Not to mention Russia has *actually invaded Ukraine already* in the past decade — twice.
The stage is set: Putin is merely one false flag operation away from having “justification.”
War is seldom a wise, financially rational decision — that doesn’t stop it from happening, over and over again in history. Pure hate, historical grievances, failures of diplomacy, and simple blunders, accidents, and miscalculations are sufficient to spark war. Are all those factors present here? Yes.