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emallove (1053)
Joined 2017-07-17
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Dr Fauci in politics
1 up, 5y
"We’re trying them all, and we don’t know exactly which one is working or working the best. But in their totality they are working."

The threshold for determining whether "it's working", would generally take 7-12 years to pass through the FDA approval process, including extensive testing and clinical trials. But for a lock-down, we skip all of this inconvenient whatchamacallit -- oh right, science and evidence-based medicine; because deep down in our hearts we feel it must "be working". That's the definition of superstition.
Dr Fauci in politics
2 ups, 5y
@KylieFan_89, of course everyone touts their own opinion, but that's not scientific evidence. The curve could flatten out for numerous reasons unrelated to the lockdown, e.g., herd immunity; people not touching their faces, coughing into their sleeves; keeping a distance from others while at work, in stores, at movie theaters; self-quarantining if symptoms arise; using more soap and hand sanitizer; protecting the especially vulnerable (like the elderly or immunocompromised). Note how none of these listed measures bankrupts the country.

Let's think of all the other mitigation strategies that have "worked":

- We haven't had a major terrorist attack on US soil since 2001, because the
wars in Iraq and Afghanistan "are working".
- SARS fizzled out and didn't reemerge because the embargo on civets "is
working". Until a new SARS-like virus emerged this year.
- Boeing 737 "was working", until it crashed. Then they fixed the bug, and it
"was working" again. Until it crashed yet again. So why was it "working"
before and in between the two deadly crashes?
- The levees in New Orleans "were working" until Katrina; since previous
Hurricanes, e.g., Betsy, Juan, and Andrew didn't incur nearly as much damage
as Katrina. But I guess they "are working" again, since New Orleans hasn't had
a hurricane as devastating as Katrina in some time.

All these cataclysms -- be they terrorist attacks, engineering failures, natural disasters, and pandemics too -- generally overpower the preventive measures we come up with. Why would it be different in our current situation?