Excep5 what he had going for him was he hadn't gone up to bat before. He did and struck out 0 for 3 and gave the senate to democrats, barely gained the house and lost white house by the same electoral margin that Hilary lost.
I don't think anyone is going to forget the guy that downplayed covid, suggested heart deformed, fanned the flames of civil unrest that summer, then denied the peaceful transfer of power.
That's assuming he doesn't lose by default to ammendment 14 section 3 - pending court trials.
It's unwise to rule out a loss, of course ( right MAGA "COMING SOON FOUR MORE YEARS" that one never gets old ). But, I would say it's overall about as likely as dying from COVID.
Caption this Meme 