They have exposed the Russian Army for the Keystone Kops Karacters they are. They are winning this war. Russia is running out of munitions and has to rely on North Korea and Iran for supplies. Ukraine is winning this war, to the extent that anyone wins a war. Putin needs an offramp but cannot find one. He could "get really sick," and not want to pass the burden of war onto someone else. Ukraine is in such a strong position that they are publicly ruling out a "cease fire," holding out for Putin to surrender.