I disagree, this situation is more serious than the Cuban Missile Crisis. Nobody was actually shooting at each other at that time. The crisis was resolved within a few days through deft diplomacy, and yes, some brinksmanship. Right now Russia and the U.S. aren’t even talking to each other, at all, and Russia and Ukraine are only making a show of it with their mutually incompatible demands.
Here, alas, we have simultaneously: (1) intense shelling in most major cities of Ukraine, and (2) hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian refugees streaming West, and (3) NATO countries openly arming Ukraine, and even urging their own citizens to go volunteer to fight — out in the open, not even hiding it —and (4) also doing their best in a highly coordinated fashion to unleash financial Armageddon on Russia with the most crippling sanctions ever.
The hard truth is that we may already be in WWIII. This shit ain’t ending in any 24h, brother.
I’d argue Putin right now is making the leaders of the USSR (Stalin excepted) look like Mahatma Ghandi.
The key difference between then and now is that back then, the USSR had allies all over the globe, and the USSR had a credible and frankly optimistic belief in itself: that Communism would one day prevail over the West through time and persistence. Communism was actually an attractive ideology to people all over the world in those days — on paper, not in its ugly reality.
Putinism on the other hand doesn’t even try to be. Russia today is a declining power, and Putin knows it. After decades of “humiliation” as he sees it by the West, this is Putin’s desperate gamble to grab whatever he can for Russia, and if he can’t have it, then he’s happy to shell or even nuke it to the ground.
Strong, self-confident, secure, and self-possessed animals aren’t the most dangerous. Wounded, cornered, and paranoid animals are the most dangerous.
What the Russia analysts (both inside and outside Russia) got wrong was the degree to which Vladimir Putin has over the past decade really consolidated Russian power all to himself — unchecked even by the oligarchs — coupled with failing to recognize his emotional and impulsive side, belying Putin’s preferred public persona of cool calm and collected.