Russia under Putin has menaced and even annexed parts of neighbors, including Ukraine — but trying to swallow a country whole, let alone one the size of Ukraine, is a radical departure, even for him.
So it was still possible to believe Putin was only using this manufactured crisis to annex the Eastern provinces, and consolidate his hold on Belarus. If Putin were being smart and strategic, that’s what he’d have done, IMO — and keep undermining Ukraine from within, eventually getting another pro-Russia guy elected through “legitimate” means.
But for whatever reason, megalomania went to his head. The fact he’s getting older, or the COVID isolation he’s put himself through? Even the Russians who thought they knew Putin are shocked.
There’s no precedent for this, but the phrase “Hitler with nukes” comes to mind.