Herd immunity implies that a majority of people get sick and develop the immunity, and there are 333,294,290 Americans as of today according to the Worldometer. This infection/death spike, at the point you have selected, is at a value which somewhat humours your point, so i'll select it. Say there are 191,298 infections daily, and half of all Americans who survive can get sick once (The others, twice). Say there are also 1,978 deaths a day. Rounding up, 0.0006% of America died on September 4th, 2021. That is unbelievably sad, but it's a small number. Rounding up, 0.06% of Americans were infected on September 4th, 2021. Also a small number. Exactly 1% of the infected died (Yes, I am aware that the deaths were mostly from patients from earlier days). At the given rate, without assistance, approximately 1742.3 days will pass (excluding Americans who get sick twice) before everyone has gotten the disease. 2613.5 days will pass including those individuals. 2613.5 times 0.0006 is equal to approximately 1.6%. Over the course of 7 years, 1.6% of Americans would die, and more than that many would be born. This doesn't even take into account that herd immunity is possible with less than total infection. Beyond that, COVID likes to have short spikes. Those spikes will not outdo those long stretches of low counts, meaning that every number here should actually be lower soon.
