When you have 2 very different population sizes, you can't do raw numbers against each other. You'll get weird results that won't tell you what's going on. You have to do an X per Y. So, these two images are the X per 100,000 AND the raw numbers.
The top one is Florida and the bottom one is North Dakota. The blue and red lines are the raw numbers of daily infections (blue) and the trend line (red).
It looks like North Dakota has it together with their far fewer infections. Florida has numbers through the roof. It seems like they're really screwing it up with the big numbers.
But that's not what's happening. Florida has a much bigger population, so their numbers should be way bigger than North Dakota.
And we see that.
Because North Dakota sits at around 4% of Florida's population, we can't make a direct comparison. We have to do a per 100,000 to make a comparison between the populations.
The orange line is the cases per 100,000.
The trend is the same. North Dakota has the same problem that Florida has, and Florida has a very big problem.