I've always been suspect of the numbers that various governments give out because testing systems are different, and that massively effects the results.
I mean, if you have 100 people in a room with no symptoms in England, nobody gets tested and therefor the result is zero cases on record.
If however like in parts of America, you randomly tested 20 of the room, you'd maybe end up with 8 cases, implying an 8% infection rate... test 20 more people the following hour and the numbers would appear to escalate over time..
I've never been tested here in England, know of nobody that ever has and they're telling us the numbers are dropping... well if you tested randomly I'd suspect that wouldn't be the case..