696 Cases, Out of 331,000,000 People in the USA

I wish people would quit panicking.
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its all about who is in the Oval. In 2009 when Swine Flu hit, there was far more infections and deaths, but the media was telling everyone to stay calm.

And currently 39 deaths with an average age of 80. Biggest overreaction in history.

Because we're not testing on the same level as other countries, we have no idea how many are infected. However, if you do the math, we're heading for a massive epidemic in this country. Every couple of days, the numbers double, which seems insignificant in the early stages. Take a penny and multiply it by 2 for every day over a thirty day period...you're in the millions after 30 days. That's where the panic is. If the death toll is in the 1% range, that's a lot of people dying, more than any virus we've seen in a long time. My daughter works for the CDC in Atlanta. This is where their conversations are at the moment. If they let that out it would be pandemonium world-wide. Hopefully, warmer weather will slow this thing down, along with common sense actions on the part of everyone.

The pattern that you are describing, which is exponential, does not continue indefinitely. It simply can't as there is a natural inflection point when infection rates go from exponential to logistic (meaning the curve flattens out).

Yes, we could and probably will see millions of infected people in the USA. But we are running behind other countries on the timeline, by at least a month. So looking at countries like South Korea gives us some indication of what we can expect in terms of mortality. They don't have millions dead from the disease, nor does any other country, not even China.

korea and china don't have millions dead yet because millions haven't been infected yet. also, that inflection in the infection curve happens as the virus begins to saturate the population. it doesn't mean that anything's stabilizing except the infection rate, and that rate would be stabilizing because there are fewer susceptible people to infect (because they're mostly already infected).

LOL...you just said the US doesn't have an accurate account of infections, so why you expect other countries to?

Secondly, you are half correct on the inflection point occuring as the population is saturated. But you are incorrect in so far as you are not accounting for the populations change in behavior. As behavior changes, like travel bans, large gatherings cancelled, etc, the curve will flatten more rapidly and with less infections.

Everything moves off a timeline. China's infections are running at least 2 months ahead of ours. Same with Korea, And Italy is roughly a month ahead. And we can use their infections and deaths to determine what we should be seeing.

Pascalean said that, not me.

i don't think you understand what an inflection point is. changes in behavior can adjust the slope of the curve at any point, but the inflection comes as saturation occurs.

LOL...an inflection point would be when infections rates move from an exponential curve to a logistic curve. If you don't know what that means, I can try to explain it, but I can't make you understand it.

you're not knowledgeable enough on what you're describing to explain it me, son.

Exponential Growth = from one day to the next you are growing by some constant greater than one. Say 1.2. This is an upward curve. True exponential do not manifest in the real world.

Logistic Growth = is similar to exponential growth in the beginning, but eventually it flatens out, meaning the 1.2 growth begins to decline. This results from, as you said, more members of the population becoming infected, but also, the number begins to flatten for other reasons. This includes things like behavioral changes in the population. This is called a downward curve

Inflection Point = The point along a time series of data where the curve from being upward (exponential) to downward (logistic)

Here, you may find this helpful.

https://youtu.be/Kas0tIxDvrg

LOL i may not find it helpful ( :

with years of study and a motivation of some kind, i suppose may you could reach a better understanding, but I'm not reading you as that kind of guy ( :

Bahahaha...says the person who truly doesn't understand the concept of an inflection point, and accuses someone else who actually understands it.

henceforth your nickname shall be plowboy and you shall be third in rank among my court's poo birds. now go forth and disturb my eyes no longer. go on.

Henceforth, your nickname will be O'Donnell's Dong. It has your level of intellect, and probably a similar smell as well.

that was one week ago now its 275,125 cases

Wrong. The USA has 16.600 or so cases. Again, we expected to see a jump in the number of cases as more people got tested and the longer we get into our curve.

oof ur actully wrong 19,773 is the number srry wrong statistic not 275,125

Look at you using the Google all on your own.

But the concept still evades you, as demonstrated by your claim I used the term incorrectly. I did not it was used correctly.

You started here: US Coronavirus Statistics

Next You Went Here: (you were found to be wildly inaccurate): My personal self quarantine

The later does not logically follow the former. We were discussing the national statistic of cases not personal actions. So, once again, I used it the term "non sequitur" correctly

ummm I used edge to find the definition. you sound like a fourth year old white male that teaches English and is trying to become popular with his students so he goes on meme websites to learn about memes.

LOL...you sound like an uneducated race baiter...what does anyone's race have to do with anything here? Oh I know, you're just keeping with your trend of non sequiturs.

cause white people correct peoples English. and don't fight me on that I would never correct someone's English. its a meme website ok I will go to Grammarly if I want to. your still a creepy 40 yr old white male in my head. dude I have some advice, if you want friends you should try to make fun of their English skills ok?

First, I didn't correct your English. I pointed out your illogical rambling, not syntax, punctuation or anything else.

Second, "white people corrects peoples English"...wow, how mildly racist of you and aggressively ignorant too!

ok I think that you topped yourself off. ". I pointed out your illogical rambling, not syntax, punctuation or anything else." who dafauq says that and is not annoying in real life. I mean cmon illogical rambaling??

obviously, I say it

ok ill be back I m going to eat lunch. i apoplgise for all the rasict things i said, you can call me a ching chong. but i am just saying, you did a VERY white thing so i had to say something

i don't like you but i will follow you anyways thx for giving me something to do during this quarantine time.

yea I m asian

Congratulations...how is that relevant? You seem to be missing this point. My race, your race, anyone on this sites race, is not relevant

yes it is, im Asian. you have been informed.

My suggestion for you, should you want it or not...don't jump to conclusions that make you sound racist...people don't like that.

only cause your being a pain in the ass. I don't f**king care if I don't know what a no senqouiuedsfehu is ok? so don't point that out cause nobody cares

Just because you don't care, doesn't mean "nobody cares"...you're kinda egocentric, aren't ya?

ok i don't care if i know what a non senquirijdoiusal is

and I am just assuming your white cause pointing out English mistakes are one of the whitest things some one could do

*Deep Yawn* *And Another One*....you just keep getting more racist as you go

im sorry for being rasict. you just tempt me so much.

My stat was as of this morning. As of tonight it's mid 17,000s

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html

ok it just that it is growing exponentially so its going to escalate very quickly so that red slit is going to become very THICC soon

Please read the other comments. This has been covered. In short, as more time elapses and the more tests conducted, the number of cases will increase. This is expected. And normal.

so you probably aren't self quarantining urself rn ? and your not afraid. ok you do you

What an interesting non sequitur.

ok so you aren't afraid but you are still self quarantining

And another

well I have to guess cause you didn't really tell me

Well, apparently you don't know what "non sequitur" means...which If you had known what it means, you would then know why I didn't tell you

its when some one makes a statement that dosent follow through with the previous argument. you actually used it incorrectly.

bruh go correct my English somewhere else ok? im just asking where do you stand on this?