Fair question. Having joined that game only in the last year or two I haven't observed much in the way of concrete time predictions though others say they have. My hunch based on general observation is he's real (the LARP claim is obviously bogus), but I think there's two parts. One, they're cleaning out a number of pawns and knights as preliminaries, and two, I suspect it's also connected to a larger global regime of corruption not just domestic, which also means more footwork. I assume you're already familiar with her noose quote. Until then, however, you're right it's still in the TBD category, but I still think it allows for a good meme.
