Yes, the places where all the people live are generally what should sway elections since, you know, people actually live there. This isn’t the 1970s anymore, a lot of the places that the media will fearmonger about being these dystopian crime ridden hellholes are statistically some of the safest places in country.
Meanwhile conservative states such as Louisiana and Mississippi who were hit hard by the opioid crisis have some of the highest violent crime rates in the country.