It shows what can change.

Rrussia did not do good at the begining of the great northern war Sweden destroyed them despite having a much smaller military

Well Russia ultimatly won the war unlike ww1 and the japan war and was one of the greatest moments of the Russian empire.

Well that’s comparing Sweden to japan they have totally different power projections and both of them Russia underestimated except in the northern war Russia had the polish Lithuanian commonwealth on their side