You have ID'ed where progressives go wrong in their fantastical view of the future based on self promoting "analysis" by companies that have a financial stake in the promised outcome. "Promised" being keyword. https://www.rystadenergy.com/
The 2nd paragraph of the article you referenced confirms my statement in my meme.
The 1st paragraph confirms my statement here of your fantastical outcome based on promises, and promises only, from a company that plans on benefit financially. (Isn't financial profit verboten in the progressive proletaria's' worldview?)
Sorry, hope and promises are NOT reality based as my statement is.
For the foreseeable future, let's continue to watch degrading solar panels pollute the planet.