Probably correct, although we would need more than a few games to figure that out. But what Howie will do is trade a bunch of picks to move up to number 3 and get Justin Fields. And there's no reason to believe Fields will do anything on our team unless we fix all the holes in the offense. So if we get another QB, we won't have a team for him to play on.
Stick with Hurts for 2 years, either he nuts up and gets good, or we're drafting high next year too.