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Trump 2.4 yr CAGR vs Obama 8 yr CAGR

Trump 2.4 yr CAGR vs Obama 8 yr CAGR | XLB Trump CAGR   3.7 vs Obama CAGR 14.18; XLE Trump CAGR -6.17 vs Obama CAGR  9.02; XLF Trump CAGR  7.58 vs Obama CAGR 23.32; XLI Trump CAGR   8.2 vs Obama CAGR 17.47; XLK Trump CAGR 19.41 vs Obama CAGR 18.89; XLP Trump CAGR  5.77 vs Obama CAGR 14.16; XLU Trump CAGR 11.21 vs Obama CAGR 11.21; XLV Trump CAGR 11.93 vs Obama CAGR 15.51; XLY Trump CAGR 14.64 vs Obama CAGR 21.98; DIA Trump CAGR 13.23 vs Obama CAGR 14.93; SPY Trump CAGR 11.23 vs Obama CAGR  16.2; MDY Trump CAGR  5.16 vs Obama CAGR  18.2; SLY Trump CAGR  5.06 vs Obama CAGR 20.19 | image tagged in black background | made w/ Imgflip meme maker
83 views Made by anonymous 5 years ago in politics
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12 Comments
3 ups, 5y,
1 reply
This makes a great case for Trump as he achieved his numbers without 4 TRILLION in QA and in a market that was already at all time highs. Also the only 2 that matter on that list are SPY and DIA. The rest are subsets of those 2 and are therefore highly correlated. The only list that would be relevant to 99% of everyone is SPY, DIA, IWM, (which each have a correlation over .8) TLT, USO, EEM, (which each have a much lower or negative correlation to S/P) and I suspect the last three are gonna make Trump look even better.
3 ups, 5y,
1 reply
I actually trade these products and I can tell you that they don't really matter as 80%+ of their movement is a reaction to SPY,DIA or IWM. And SPY is really the only one most people need to watch if they want to know what the others are doing. So unless you include every and all S/P related ETFs it just looks like you are cherry picking the data to support your premise.

Ye pull the numbers for TLT,USO and EEM and see how it looks....almost everyone has some sort if not a lot of exposure to those values whether they invest or not.

Who cares what SLY does....that could go up or down 50% tomorrow and it would barely be a blip on anyone's radar. S/P small caps are barely a fraction of the overall market. More notional volume goes through TLT and /ZB and their derivatives in the first 15 minutes of the day than SLY in a year.
3 ups, 5y,
2 replies
Every single etf you used has a greater than .8 correlation to SPY. Means they are all almost the same. I don't have the time to fill in the gaps of your Gov education but don't you think it would be interesting to show some other etf's that are actually relevant to people's everyday lives and are not just picking the S/P etf's that support your ideas and are all correlated anyway. Because at this point it's not 1 out of 13....it's just 13 of the same thing which is 1....and he didn't miss by much and he didn't have 4 TRILLION in QA.
[deleted]
0 ups, 5y,
1 reply
So you think largecaps are all that matter?
Pretty big difference in SPY.

You probably think Republican presidents are historically better for the stock market then Democratic presidents. They aren't. In fact it isn't even close.

Imagine how bad 45's numbers would be without the massive corporate tax cut and the ensuing buybacks.
2 ups, 5y,
1 reply
You should probably stop thinking you know anything about people you don’t know...you aren’t very good at it. The reality is that I don’t think the stock market cares who the president is...the market will do what it’s going to do. But you can’t cherry pick your numbers and and ignore 4 TRILLION dollars of taxpayer money pumped into the market and act like your team did a great job and not expect to get called out on it.
[deleted]
0 ups, 5y,
1 reply
Of course you don't think the president matters to the stock market because the party you side with has way worse performance numbers. Hahaha

Go back last 56 yrs before 45 and look again. 28yrs of Republican and 28 yrs of Democrats. JFK through Obama

With a dem in the whitehouse you would have more than 8 times more money than with a Republican in the whitehouse for those 56 yrs. Facts.

The best stock market returns are when a dem is in the whitehouse with a Republican senate.

The worst are when it is a Republican Whitehouse with a Republican senate. Which we have had for all of Trump's run.

The only thing holding it up is the massive stock buybacks spurred by his massive corporate tax cut.

Do some research. It might shock you
3 ups, 5y,
1 reply
Again you should give up predicting what I think...you again aren't very good at it. Everybody already knows market history with respect to party but nobody talks about it much....especially Dems since the R's are supposed to be the party of big business yet the numbers suggest big business prefers Dems ...haha. And because the big players know it doesn't really matter who the president is....the market does what it will do. But you know how I know you are a leftist.....because you have repeatedly made assumptions about me personally instead of addressing the fact that all of your data is cherry picked S/P related with 4 TRILLION dollars of taxpayer money pumped into it. Obviously you aren't equipped to debate the issue so I'll let ya go unless you manage to come up with something interesting.
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XLB Trump CAGR 3.7 vs Obama CAGR 14.18; XLE Trump CAGR -6.17 vs Obama CAGR 9.02; XLF Trump CAGR 7.58 vs Obama CAGR 23.32; XLI Trump CAGR 8.2 vs Obama CAGR 17.47; XLK Trump CAGR 19.41 vs Obama CAGR 18.89; XLP Trump CAGR 5.77 vs Obama CAGR 14.16; XLU Trump CAGR 11.21 vs Obama CAGR 11.21; XLV Trump CAGR 11.93 vs Obama CAGR 15.51; XLY Trump CAGR 14.64 vs Obama CAGR 21.98; DIA Trump CAGR 13.23 vs Obama CAGR 14.93; SPY Trump CAGR 11.23 vs Obama CAGR 16.2; MDY Trump CAGR 5.16 vs Obama CAGR 18.2; SLY Trump CAGR 5.06 vs Obama CAGR 20.19